I believe we’re on path SSP1-2.6 – not good.
The world could be better than 1-1.9 – how?
The light blue line could go down to minus 40 by year 2100
- if politicians and companies took serious action for CO2 removals.
- - - - -
The numbers (1.9 etc.) are not temperature, they’re radiative forcing.
Temperatures are in post 2
SSP = Shared Socio-economic Pathway
y = GtCO2/yr
#ipcc (1/3) Source in post 3
@JohanEmpa right now, clearly our path will take us to closer to 5ºC rise. We will reduce from that but by how much, is the question. Best hope without a significant change in society and politics is 2.5ºC. Let’s see what actual policies are forthcoming at COP26. I believe it would be physically possible to stay under 1.5ºC but not within a profit driven society.