I believe we’re on path SSP1-2.6 – not good.
The world could be better than 1-1.9 – how?
The light blue line could go down to minus 40 by year 2100
- if politicians and companies took serious action for CO2 removals.
- - - - -
The numbers (1.9 etc.) are not temperature, they’re radiative forcing.
Temperatures are in post 2
SSP = Shared Socio-economic Pathway
y = GtCO2/yr
#ipcc (1/3) Source in post 3
@JohanEmpa impossible to tell really.
these extra long term scenario narratives backing-in a lot of assumptions that could be invalidated both for better and worse with dramatic consequences:
in a positive surprise scenario global cooperation could intensify and mobilize the enormous collective resources towards monumental technology solutions and behavioral adaptions
in a negative surprise scenaro the exact opposite: degeneration into war and conflict and complete disregard for environment
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